Can I Buy a Good Investment Now?

First, let me report some good news about mortgage interest rates. They've been coming down the past few weeks. As of November 24, 2023, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.32% (Mortgage Nuggets Daily).

Second, the not-as-good (for investors) news is that sale prices have shown no sign of decreasing. Yet. Houses and townhouses and condos and multi-family buildings in Metro Atlanta are more expensive than ever.

Third, the seasonal good news is that December and January are a time for possible savings on the purchase of a resale home. There are homes right now that have been sitting on market for months (in spite of low inventory!).

Why are they not selling?

There are fewer buyers (primarily because of mortgage rates). Many sellers have the idea they can sell like it's 2022 (the crazy market for sellers ended Spring 2022). So some sellers have put fixer-uppers out on the market—at full price as if they were move-in ready homes. Some sellers have listed their homes at a price above the market. After months of zero-success, however, there is an opportunity in this slow buying season for those who want to find a bargain.

So, to prepare for this article, I spent 30 to 45 minutes perusing available homes in a few areas I know very well. Finding a good investment (which I define as minimum 8% gross rent ratio) is harder now, but not impossible.
I found a lovely 2006 home in Gwinnett County, in the city of Snellville, for 400k—but it has been on the market for over a year!

A 400k house would need to get $2,700 in rent to beat the 8% gross rent ratio threshold I am looking for. With some improvements, this home will rent for $3,000.

But there is no reason to pay 400k. Having been on market for over a year with no change in price, I feel confident this home could he obtained for less than 400k. For the purpose of this exercise, I will say I think we could get it for 385k and spend 15k on improvements—flooring and paint.

To calculate Gross Rent Ratio, I consider the total cost of acquiring the house, which would be 400k (385k plus 15k in improvements). Anything $2,700 or higher in rent would make this a solid investment. Let's assume we could get at least $2,900 in rent.

After leasing commissions and management fees, the average monthly income for the owner would be $2,426.33. In the second year, if the tenants renew, the average monthly income increases to $2,547.16.
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With a 20% down payment on 385k, the mortgage with property taxes and homeowners insurance would be about $2,687.

So there would be $260 per month in negative cashflow. But another way to look at it is that the tenant is paying 90% of the mortgage. A solid investment. Factoring in the tax benefits of owning real property, that negative cashflow will more than be made up for on your annual tax return (perhaps the subject of a future report).

The answer is YES. Even in this tough market for investors, profitable investments can be purchased.

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